Seminole, OK 74868 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 66
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Home Value
$138,684
+7.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
66
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
12%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
50%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$188
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 50% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 9% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (66/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.2% below their final list price; 12% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $188 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.9% to +13.4% (80% range; middle estimate +6.4%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Seminole County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wewoka, OK 74884 | $84.9K | +12.6% | 76 |
| Konawa, OK 74849 | $125.2K | +12.3% | 6 |
| Earlsboro, OK 74840 | $214.8K | +6.4% | 67 |
| Sasakwa, OK 74867 | $203.8K | +9.0% | 34 |
| ZIP 74837 | – | – | 72 |
| Bowlegs, OK 74830 | – | – | 32 |