Holdenville, OK 74848 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$96,211
+0.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
75 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
36%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
16%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
15%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$257
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 15% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 46% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+23% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.3% below their final list price; 36% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 16% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $29k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $257 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.1% to +11.2% (80% range; middle estimate +4.2%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hughes County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Okemah, OK 74883 | $121.9K | +11.3% | 9 |
| Wardville, OK 74570 | $212.1K | +12.1% | 66 |
| Allen, OK 74531 | $171.2K | +17.2% | 33 |
| Dustin, OK 74839 | $122.4K | +16.8% | 71 |
| Atwood, OK 74827 | $229.2K | +9.1% | 45 |
| Lamar, OK 74850 | $188.4K | +16.2% | 17 |