Prague, OK 74864 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 63
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Home Value
$193,461
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
63
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
67%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$188
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 67% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 30% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+6% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (63/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.4% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $51k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,268 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $188 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155).
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lincoln County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler, OK 74834 | $210.6K | +4.5% | 31 |
| Wellston, OK 74881 | $193K | +4.7% | 67 |
| Stroud, OK 74079 | $156.9K | +6.1% | 42 |
| Meeker, OK 74855 | $220.9K | +5.9% | 78 |
| Agra, OK 74824 | $230.4K | +3.5% | 19 |
| Tryon, OK 74875 | $203.8K | +9.0% | 44 |
| Carney, OK 74832 | $179.5K | +1.6% | 20 |
| Davenport, OK 74026 | $108.5K | −0.5% | 96 |
| Sparks, OK 74869 | $199.9K | +7.6% | 14 |