Tryon, OK 74875 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 44
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Home Value
$203,803
+9.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
44
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
63 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
25%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$182
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 25% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 9.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−20% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (44/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.5% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,270 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $182 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.8% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lincoln County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler, OK 74834 | $210.6K | +4.5% | 31 |
| Wellston, OK 74881 | $193K | +4.7% | 67 |
| Prague, OK 74864 | $193.5K | +3.2% | 63 |
| Stroud, OK 74079 | $156.9K | +6.1% | 42 |
| Meeker, OK 74855 | $220.9K | +5.9% | 78 |
| Agra, OK 74824 | $230.4K | +3.5% | 19 |
| Carney, OK 74832 | $179.5K | +1.6% | 20 |
| Davenport, OK 74026 | $108.5K | −0.5% | 96 |
| Sparks, OK 74869 | $199.9K | +7.6% | 14 |