Ada, OK 74865 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 14
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Home Value
$211,534
+8.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
14
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
51 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
49%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$202
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 49% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 36% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−40% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (14/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,172 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $202 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −2% to +14% over the next 12 months (85% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.1% to +14.2% (80% range; middle estimate +7.2%), chance of a rise 85%, of a 5%+ drop 5%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pontotoc County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ada, OK 74820 | $190.8K | +7.0% | 30 |
| Stonewall, OK 74871 | $217.6K | +10.5% | 75 |
| Allen, OK 74825 | $177.9K | +4.8% | 69 |
| ZIP 74844 | – | – | 13 |
| Fitzhugh, OK 74843 | – | – | 9 |
| Fittstown, OK 74842 | – | – | 0 |