Sherman, TX 75092 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 95
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$285,919
−5.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
95
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
75 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
35%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,189/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$97
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 5.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 86% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (95/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.1% below their final list price; 35% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $82k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,714 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $863/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $97 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (55% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.6% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 55%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Sherman, TX 75092
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Grayson County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman, TX 75090 | $206.7K | −9.0% | 82 |
| Denison, TX 75020 | $217.7K | −6.9% | 98 |
| Whitesboro, TX 76273 | $351.7K | −0.5% | 99 |
| Van Alstyne, TX 75495 | $422.3K | −3.5% | 98 |
| Denison, TX 75021 | $247.8K | −5.0% | 96 |
| Pottsboro, TX 75076 | $340.2K | −0.3% | 99 |
| Sherman, TX 75459 | $296.2K | −7.3% | 70 |
| Whitewright, TX 75491 | $341.5K | −3.4% | 96 |
| Bells, TX 75414 | $366.9K | −2.2% | 99 |
| Collinsville, TX 76233 | $385.3K | −0.2% | 98 |
| Gunter, TX 75058 | $650.8K | −2.3% | 98 |
| Tioga, TX 76271 | $380.3K | −4.5% | 87 |
| Gordonville, TX 76245 | $217.2K | −6.6% | 96 |
| Sadler, TX 76264 | – | – | 77 |
| Tom Bean, TX 75489 | – | – | 90 |
| ZIP 76268 | – | – | 16 |