Canton, TX 75103 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 92
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Home Value
$307,854
+0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
92
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
23%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,447/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
31%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$89
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 31% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 53% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−14% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (92/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.0% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $83k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,488 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $632/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $89 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.6%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Van Zandt County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wills Point, TX 75169 | $272.8K | 0.0% | 98 |
| Mabank, TX 75147 | $277.5K | −0.3% | 96 |
| Grand Saline, TX 75140 | $243.8K | −2.4% | 97 |
| Ben Wheeler, TX 75754 | $320.5K | +0.6% | 65 |
| Edgewood, TX 75117 | $290.7K | −1.8% | 89 |
| Van, TX 75790 | $245.6K | −0.5% | 87 |
| Fruitvale, TX 75127 | – | – | 81 |