Wills Point, TX 75169 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 98
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$272,818
0.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
89 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
20%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$87
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 20% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 3% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 111% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−8% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.3% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $74k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,550 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $87 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.4% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Wills Point, TX 75169
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Van Zandt County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canton, TX 75103 | $307.9K | +0.6% | 92 |
| Mabank, TX 75147 | $277.5K | −0.3% | 96 |
| Grand Saline, TX 75140 | $243.8K | −2.4% | 97 |
| Ben Wheeler, TX 75754 | $320.5K | +0.6% | 65 |
| Edgewood, TX 75117 | $290.7K | −1.8% | 89 |
| Van, TX 75790 | $245.6K | −0.5% | 87 |
| Fruitvale, TX 75127 | – | – | 81 |