Caddo Mills, TX 75135 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 92
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Home Value
$313,301
−3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
92
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
21%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 21% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 12% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 265% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−23% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (92/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.2% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $89k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $3,053 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hunt County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville, TX 75401 | $201.1K | −4.8% | 96 |
| Greenville, TX 75402 | $268.3K | −2.8% | 93 |
| Quinlan, TX 75474 | $250K | −1.2% | 95 |
| Commerce, TX 75428 | $213.8K | −5.7% | 97 |
| Lone Oak, TX 75453 | $299.2K | −3.2% | 99 |
| Campbell, TX 75422 | $365.6K | −1.7% | 95 |
| Celeste, TX 75423 | $376.5K | +1.6% | 93 |
| Wolfe City, TX 75496 | $277.2K | −1.2% | 100 |
| ZIP 75429 | – | – | – |