Lone Oak, TX 75453 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$299,171
−3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
62 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
32%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-16%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$110
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 16% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 110% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−10% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.7% below their final list price; 32% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $81k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,879 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $110 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (52% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.2%), chance of a rise 52%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hunt County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville, TX 75401 | $201.1K | −4.8% | 96 |
| Greenville, TX 75402 | $268.3K | −2.8% | 93 |
| Quinlan, TX 75474 | $250K | −1.2% | 95 |
| Commerce, TX 75428 | $213.8K | −5.7% | 97 |
| Caddo Mills, TX 75135 | $313.3K | −3.2% | 92 |
| Campbell, TX 75422 | $365.6K | −1.7% | 95 |
| Celeste, TX 75423 | $376.5K | +1.6% | 93 |
| Wolfe City, TX 75496 | $277.2K | −1.2% | 100 |
| ZIP 75429 | – | – | – |