Dallas, TX 75206 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 69
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Home Value
$608,484
+2.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
69
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
58 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
55%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,051/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
17%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$108
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 17% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 1% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+24% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (69/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.0% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 55% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $167k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,650 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,125/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $108 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.5% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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