Dallas, TX 75246 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$381,857
+4.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
56 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
60%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,189/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
1.1%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$105
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+1% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 38% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−40% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.2% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 60% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $107k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,649 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,491/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $105 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.9% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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