San Antonio, TX 78212 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$281,984
−0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
91 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
28%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,486/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
2.3%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$136
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 29% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−10% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.8% below their final list price; 28% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $81k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,904 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $534/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $136 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.6% (80% range; middle estimate +0.5%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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