Flatonia, TX 78941 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$442,751
+1.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
103 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
89.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
45%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
7.2%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$91
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+7% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 55% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+45% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 10.4% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 45% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $114k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,930 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $91 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (46% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.7% to +6.6% (80% range; middle estimate −0.4%), chance of a rise 46%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Fayette County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Grange, TX 78945 | $375.7K | −4.7% | 96 |
| Schulenburg, TX 78956 | $372K | −1.4% | 99 |
| Fayetteville, TX 78940 | $580.4K | −2.1% | 86 |
| Round Top, TX 78954 | $1.2M | −4.4% | 15 |
| Muldoon, TX 78949 | – | – | 57 |
| West Point, TX 78963 | – | – | 57 |
| Ellinger, TX 78938 | – | – | 24 |