Midland, TX 79707 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 92
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Home Value
$418,632
+1.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
92
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
34.7 months
Jun 2025
Days on Market
51 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
38%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,495/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
25%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$101
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 25% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 27% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−6% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (92/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.8% below their final list price; 38% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $115k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,827 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,379/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $101 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.7%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Midland County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midland, TX 79706 | $384.5K | +1.4% | 73 |
| Midland, TX 79701 | $223.3K | +3.1% | 43 |
| Odessa, TX 79765 | $333.3K | +3.0% | 79 |
| Midland, TX 79703 | $242.9K | +1.9% | 60 |