Bailey, CO 80421 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 74
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Home Value
$544,582
−1.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
74
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
35%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
43%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$342
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 43% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 79% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.5% below their final list price; 35% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $125k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,159 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $342 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Park County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairplay, CO 80440 | $599.9K | −1.8% | 99 |
| Alma, CO 80420 | $609.6K | −0.9% | 88 |
| Hartsel, CO 80449 | $395.2K | +1.3% | 99 |
| Lake George, CO 80827 | $436.3K | −0.5% | 100 |
| Jefferson, CO 80456 | $447.3K | −2.4% | 95 |
| Guffey, CO 80820 | $490.2K | −1.7% | 98 |
| Como, CO 80432 | $437.3K | −3.3% | 89 |
| Grant, CO 80475 | $523.2K | −4.2% | 59 |
| Bailey, CO 80448 | $569.3K | −1.5% | 49 |