Winter Park, CO 80482 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 70
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Home Value
$782,207
+0.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
90 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
7.2%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
82%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
154%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$155
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 154% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 144% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 7% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 82% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $177k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $155 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.2% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grand County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granby, CO 80446 | $729K | −0.4% | 98 |
| Fraser, CO 80442 | $755.5K | −2.1% | 96 |
| Kremmling, CO 80459 | $549K | +0.6% | 73 |
| Grand Lake, CO 80447 | $736.9K | −1.6% | 96 |
| Granby, CO 80478 | $1M | +0.1% | 95 |
| Hot Sulphur Springs, CO 80451 | $542.7K | +4.3% | 86 |
| Parshall, CO 80468 | $717.1K | −0.5% | 33 |