Gardner, CO 81040 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 94
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$311,543
−2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
94
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
12.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
127 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
72%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$183
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are down 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 7% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 2% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+33% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (94/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.8% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 72% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $75k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $183 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.7% to +7.6% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Gardner, CO 81040
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Huerfano County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walsenburg, CO 81089 | $205.7K | −2.8% | 99 |
| Gardner, CO 81069 | $337.1K | −2.8% | 99 |
| La Veta, CO 81055 | $386.8K | −0.8% | 70 |