Nucla, CO 81424 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$257,461
+5.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
33.7 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
166 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.3%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
45%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
113%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$218
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 113% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 15% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+63% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.7% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 45% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $218 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.5% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Montrose County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose, CO 81401 | $426.4K | +2.3% | 95 |
| Montrose, CO 81403 | $598.9K | +2.3% | 94 |
| Olathe, CO 81425 | $461.3K | +4.0% | 84 |
| Crawford, CO 81415 | $530.1K | +3.0% | 94 |
| Naturita, CO 81422 | $215.5K | +1.3% | 32 |
| Paradox, CO 81429 | – | – | 18 |
| Bedrock, CO 81411 | – | – | 74 |