Fruita, CO 81521 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 71
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Home Value
$485,728
+2.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
71
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
28%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,704/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$87
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 44% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+68% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (71/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.3% below their final list price; 28% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $111k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,278 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,070/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $87 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Mesa County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Junction, CO 81504 | $384.8K | +2.0% | 60 |
| Grand Junction, CO 81501 | $347.8K | +1.2% | 79 |
| Grand Junction, CO 81503 | $405.2K | +3.3% | 46 |
| Grand Junction, CO 81507 | $633K | +2.9% | 78 |
| Grand Junction, CO 81505 | $497.7K | +1.8% | 72 |
| Clifton, CO 81520 | $331.8K | +1.1% | 49 |
| Grand Junction, CO 81506 | $518.4K | +1.9% | 74 |
| Palisade, CO 81526 | $567K | +1.7% | 98 |
| Loma, CO 81524 | $659.2K | +7.4% | 46 |
| Collbran, CO 81624 | $420.2K | +4.3% | 88 |
| Whitewater, CO 81527 | $564.8K | +5.5% | 96 |
| Mesa, CO 81643 | $539.1K | +8.1% | 42 |
| Mack, CO 81525 | $489.8K | +6.4% | 40 |
| Glade Park, CO 81523 | $625.6K | +4.4% | 53 |
| Molina, CO 81646 | – | – | 100 |
| Gateway, CO 81522 | – | – | 100 |