Snowmass Village, CO 81615 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$2.4M
+14.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
12.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
100 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
4.4%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
154%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
79%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$85
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 79% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 14.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 25% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+6% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.7% below their final list price; 4% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 154% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $527k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $85 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +12.5% (80% range; middle estimate +5.4%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pitkin County, CO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carbondale, CO 81623 | $1.4M | +5.4% | 76 |
| Aspen, CO 81611 | $3.5M | +7.5% | 81 |
| Aspen, CO 81654 | $2.8M | +4.0% | 98 |
| Woody Creek, CO 81656 | $5.7M | +7.9% | 31 |
| Meredith, CO 81642 | $787.3K | +9.5% | 34 |
| Aspen, CO 81612 | – | – | 80 |