Clayton, ID 83227 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 2
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Home Value
$476,522
+16.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
2
May 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Oct 2025
Days on Market
50 days
May 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
May 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.4%
Oct 2022
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Dec 2017
Overvalued %
23%
Dec 2017
Expected Disaster Loss
$285
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 16.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 75% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (2/100; U.S.: 54) (as of May 2026): homes sell for about 6.6% below their final list price (as of Oct 2022); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%) (as of May 2026).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $110k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $285 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −1% to +15% over the next 12 months (88% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −1.3% to +15.0% (80% range; middle estimate +8.0%), chance of a rise 88%, of a 5%+ drop 3%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Custer County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Challis, ID 83226 | $340.4K | +12.0% | 45 |
| Mackay, ID 83251 | $320.7K | +4.4% | 44 |
| Stanley, ID 83278 | $812K | +29.2% | 1 |
| Ellis, ID 83235 | – | – | 71 |