Jerome, ID 83338 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 49
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Home Value
$407,269
+3.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
49
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
40%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,900/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
52%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$75
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 52% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 46% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−18% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (49/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.9% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 40% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $97k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $520/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $75 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.4% to +11.9% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jerome County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hazelton, ID 83335 | $417.1K | +6.7% | 42 |
| Eden, ID 83325 | $472.2K | +2.6% | 72 |