Murphy, ID 83650 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 1
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Home Value
$446,491
+8.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
1
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Mar 2026
Days on Market
7 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Mar 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
53%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
91%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$387
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 91% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 63% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (1/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.3% below their final list price (as of Mar 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 53% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $101k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,131 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $387 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.6% to +12.7% (80% range; middle estimate +5.7%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Owyhee County, ID
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homedale, ID 83628 | $364.2K | +0.8% | 33 |
| Melba, ID 83641 | $673.4K | +5.8% | 76 |
| Marsing, ID 83639 | $479.1K | +1.4% | 37 |
| Grand View, ID 83624 | $450.5K | +3.8% | 96 |
| Bruneau, ID 83604 | $550.5K | +9.7% | 80 |
| Hammett, ID 83627 | $505.8K | +6.9% | 22 |