Garden City, UT 84028 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 94
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Home Value
$616,531
+2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
94
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
19.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
122 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
7.9%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
89%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
141%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$88
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 141% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 124% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (94/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.7% below their final list price; 8% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 89% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $139k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $88 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (59% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.1% to +8.2% (80% range; middle estimate +1.2%), chance of a rise 59%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Rich County, UT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Randolph, UT 84064 | – | – | 36 |
| Laketown, UT 84038 | $762.9K | +6.5% | 78 |
| Randolph, UT 84086 | – | – | 29 |