Thatcher, AZ 85552 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 88
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$350,716
+3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
66 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
10%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$109
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 10% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 24% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.6% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $82k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $109 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.9% to +8.4% (80% range; middle estimate +1.4%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Thatcher, AZ 85552
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Graham County, AZ
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Safford, AZ 85546 | $288.1K | +2.2% | 43 |
| Willcox, AZ 85643 | $204.5K | −3.1% | 84 |
| Pima, AZ 85543 | $341.7K | +4.4% | 71 |
| ZIP 85542 | – | – | – |
| Bylas, AZ 85530 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 85531 | – | – | 84 |
| ZIP 85551 | – | – | 17 |
| ZIP 85536 | – | – | 39 |
| Eden, AZ 85535 | – | – | 0 |