Old Station, CA 96071 housing market

What this means

• Prices. Home values are down 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. Listings are 28% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−25% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (39/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $340 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

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