Eugene, OR 97405 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 41
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Home Value
$532,876
+1.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
41
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
39%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,112/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
18%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$125
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 18% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 7% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (41/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.1% of list); 39% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $130k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,146 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,145/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $125 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.5%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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