Blue River, OR 97413 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$437,212
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
115 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
48%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
1.7%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$368
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 38% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+42% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.6% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 48% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $101k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $368 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (69% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.4% to +9.9% (80% range; middle estimate +2.9%), chance of a rise 69%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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