Madras, OR 97741 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 88
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Home Value
$371,240
+0.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
111 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
23%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,549/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
63%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$125
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 63% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 134% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.7% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $90k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $707/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $125 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.1% to +8.2% (80% range; middle estimate +1.1%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jefferson County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Culver, OR 97734 | $414.7K | +1.4% | 98 |
| Camp Sherman, OR 97730 | $739.3K | −1.4% | 99 |
| Ashwood, OR 97711 | – | – | – |