Quilcene, WA 98376 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 95
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Home Value
$461,077
+0.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
95
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
98 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
57%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
91%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$216
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 91% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 38% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+29% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (95/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.6% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 57% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $110k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $216 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jefferson County, WA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port Townsend, WA 98368 | $632.1K | −0.1% | 45 |
| Forks, WA 98331 | $335K | +0.2% | 61 |
| Port Ludlow, WA 98365 | $651.7K | −0.6% | 87 |
| Port Hadlock, WA 98339 | $461.4K | +0.3% | 44 |
| Port Ludlow, WA 98325 | $546.6K | −0.3% | 31 |
| Brinnon, WA 98320 | $368.4K | +0.4% | 93 |
| Nordland, WA 98358 | $787.4K | −0.3% | 14 |