Yelm, WA 98597 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 64
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Home Value
$483,027
+0.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
64
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,301/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
43%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$170
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 43% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 90% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+23% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (64/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.5% of list); 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $117k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $616/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $170 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.4% (80% range; middle estimate +0.3%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Thurston County, WA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia, WA 98501 | $545K | +0.5% | 54 |
| Lacey, WA 98503 | $482.6K | +0.9% | 56 |
| Olympia, WA 98513 | $503.5K | +0.2% | 69 |
| Olympia, WA 98502 | $572.4K | −0.1% | 50 |
| Olympia, WA 98512 | $550.3K | +0.8% | 57 |
| Lacey, WA 98516 | $574.6K | −0.3% | 67 |
| Olympia, WA 98506 | $541.3K | −1.3% | 44 |
| Rochester, WA 98579 | $515.9K | +0.9% | 78 |
| Tenino, WA 98589 | $513.3K | +1.0% | 87 |
| Rainier, WA 98576 | $515.7K | +1.2% | 51 |
| ZIP 98505 | – | – | – |
| Bucoda, WA 98530 | $312.4K | +2.8% | 96 |
| ZIP 98556 | – | – | – |