Mesa, WA 99343 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 11
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Home Value
$562,678
+3.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
11
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Jul 2025
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Jul 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
68%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
77%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$170
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 77% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 60% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (11/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.6% below their final list price (as of Jul 2025); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 68% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $135k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $170 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Franklin County, WA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pasco, WA 99301 | $416.8K | +0.3% | 43 |
| Connell, WA 99326 | $319.9K | +2.5% | 53 |
| Eltopia, WA 99330 | $706.1K | +5.9% | 67 |
| ZIP 99335 | – | – | 69 |