Sutton, AK 99674 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 49
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Home Value
$286,094
−1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
49
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
11.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
69 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
106.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-9.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$215
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 9% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 6% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (49/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (106.7% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $75k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $215 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.5% to +8.8% (80% range; middle estimate +1.7%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wasilla, AK 99654 | $435.5K | +7.3% | 28 |
| Palmer, AK 99645 | $445.6K | +9.4% | 20 |
| Wasilla, AK 99623 | $377.9K | +7.3% | 32 |
| Big Lake, AK 99652 | – | – | 25 |
| Willow, AK 99688 | $264.1K | +0.1% | 57 |
| Talkeetna, AK 99676 | $268.4K | +3.6% | 97 |
| ZIP 99694 | – | – | 22 |
| Trapper Creek, AK 99683 | – | – | 49 |
| Skwentna, AK 99667 | – | – | 88 |
| Cantwell, AK 99729 | – | – | 13 |