Sunflower County, MS housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 89
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Home Value
$93,711
−9.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
89
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.7 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
120 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.5%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$161
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 9.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 31% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 207% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (89/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.5% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $28k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $161 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −11% to +6% over the next 12 months (42% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −10.5% to +5.9% (80% range; middle estimate −1.0%), chance of a rise 42%, of a 5%+ drop 26%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Sunflower County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianola, MS 38751 | $95.8K | −8.9% | 74 |
| Drew, MS 38737 | $73.4K | −9.6% | 2 |
| Ruleville, MS 38771 | $94.8K | −0.9% | 70 |
| ZIP 38738 | – | – | – |
| Moorhead, MS 38761 | $84.3K | −18.8% | 2 |
| Sunflower, MS 38778 | $79.4K | −5.8% | 7 |
| Inverness, MS 38753 | $116K | −5.1% | 25 |
| Ruleville, MS 38736 | $125.2K | −5.3% | 24 |
| ZIP 38768 | – | – | – |