Crockett County, TX housing market

What this means

• Prices. Home values are down 6.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 55% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. Listings are 42% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−40% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (10/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price (as of Feb 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 12% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $33k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,065 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $277 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

ZIP codes in Crockett County, TX