Irion County, TX housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 30
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Home Value
$255,511
−7.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
30
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.6 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
73 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.6%
Nov 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$201
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are down 7.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 9% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 45% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (30/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.6% of list) (as of Nov 2025); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $66k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,149 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $201 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.2% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.3%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Irion County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mertzon, TX 76941 | $263.1K | −7.9% | 29 |
| Barnhart, TX 76930 | – | – | 17 |