Dalhart, TX 79022 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 91
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Home Value
$200,905
+6.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
91
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
13.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
76 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
13%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Nov 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$98
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 33% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 21% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (91/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Nov 2025); 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $59k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $98 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (69% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.4% to +9.9% (80% range; middle estimate +2.9%), chance of a rise 69%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Dallam County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texline, TX 79087 | – | – | 71 |
| ZIP 79051 | – | – | – |