Smithfield, VA 23430 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 37
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Home Value
$412,403
+2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
37
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
55 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
3.6%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$97
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+4% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 34% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+20% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (37/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.3% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $100k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,582 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $97 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.9% to +8.4% (80% range; middle estimate +1.4%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Isle of Wight County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrollton, VA 23314 | $420.5K | +1.8% | 26 |
| Windsor, VA 23487 | $350.9K | +4.2% | 48 |
| Zuni, VA 23898 | $346.4K | +4.2% | 9 |
| Carrsville, VA 23315 | $317.4K | +1.5% | 27 |
| ZIP 23304 | – | – | 13 |