Grafton, NH 03240 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 14
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Home Value
$320,829
−0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
14
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
53 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$229
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are down 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 66% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (14/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.6% of list); 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 34% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $91k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $229 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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