Holderness, NH 03245 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 75
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$671,803
+4.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
75
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
116 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
8.7%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
46%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$158
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 33% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 11% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+6% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (75/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 9% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 46% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $167k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $158 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Holderness, NH 03245
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.