Belvidere, NJ 07823 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 5
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Home Value
$388,197
−0.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
5
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
37 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$230
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 61% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−17% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (5/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.6% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $112k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $230 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (69% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.3% to +10.1% (80% range; middle estimate +3.0%), chance of a rise 69%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Warren County, NJ
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hackettstown, NJ 07840 | $498.1K | +3.2% | 1 |
| Phillipsburg, NJ 08865 | $343.7K | +2.1% | 12 |
| Washington, NJ 07882 | $419.4K | +1.5% | 16 |
| Blairstown Township, NJ 07825 | $508.2K | +2.4% | 0 |
| Stewartsville, NJ 08886 | $517.3K | +4.0% | 8 |
| Oxford, NJ 07863 | $401.3K | +0.9% | 4 |
| Great Meadows, NJ 07838 | $486.8K | +1.9% | 3 |
| Columbia, NJ 07832 | $466.4K | +2.4% | 5 |
| Port Murray, NJ 07865 | $509.8K | +3.3% | 33 |
| ZIP 07880 | – | – | 36 |
| ZIP 07844 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 07833 | – | – | 56 |
| ZIP 07846 | – | – | 40 |
| ZIP 07831 | – | – | 17 |
| ZIP 07820 | – | – | 72 |