Cumberland, MD 21529 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 42
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Home Value
$179,929
+2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
42
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
85%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$169
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 85% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 33% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−33% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (42/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.8% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $169 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Allegany County, MD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland, MD 21502 | $157.7K | +3.3% | 62 |
| Frostburg, MD 21532 | $181.7K | +3.9% | 67 |
| Mount Savage, MD 21545 | $129.7K | −0.1% | 15 |
| Rawlings, MD 21557 | $186.7K | +7.3% | 39 |
| Oldtown, MD 21555 | $210.1K | +8.2% | 0 |
| Flintstone, MD 21530 | $231.8K | +8.1% | 11 |
| Little Orleans, MD 21766 | $234.1K | +8.7% | 67 |
| Cumberland, MD 21524 | $190.6K | +11.8% | 21 |
| Midlothian, MD 21543 | – | – | 68 |
| Luke, MD 21540 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 21542 | – | – | 23 |
| ZIP 21560 | – | – | – |