Rawlings, MD 21557 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 39
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Home Value
$186,749
+7.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
39
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
19 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
43%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
135%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$70
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 135% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 28% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+133% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (39/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.5% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 43% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $70 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (82% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.3% to +13.0% (80% range; middle estimate +5.9%), chance of a rise 82%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Allegany County, MD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland, MD 21502 | $157.7K | +3.3% | 62 |
| Frostburg, MD 21532 | $181.7K | +3.9% | 67 |
| Mount Savage, MD 21545 | $129.7K | −0.1% | 15 |
| Oldtown, MD 21555 | $210.1K | +8.2% | 0 |
| Flintstone, MD 21530 | $231.8K | +8.1% | 11 |
| Little Orleans, MD 21766 | $234.1K | +8.7% | 67 |
| Cumberland, MD 21524 | $190.6K | +11.8% | 21 |
| Cumberland, MD 21529 | $179.9K | +2.5% | 42 |
| Midlothian, MD 21543 | – | – | 68 |
| Luke, MD 21540 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 21542 | – | – | 23 |
| ZIP 21560 | – | – | – |