Barboursville, VA 22923 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 35
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Home Value
$435,496
+2.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
35
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
17 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
19%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,413/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
4.3%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$104
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+4% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 29% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+141% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (35/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.1% below their final list price; 19% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $104k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,420 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $188/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $104 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Albemarle County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlottesville, VA 22903 | $534.6K | +0.8% | 29 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22901 | $528.8K | +1.7% | 40 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22902 | $480.2K | +0.5% | 57 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22911 | $514.7K | +1.4% | 37 |
| Crozet, VA 22932 | $600.6K | +2.6% | 17 |
| Earlysville, VA 22936 | $650.1K | +3.1% | 21 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22904 | – | – | 71 |
| Keswick, VA 22947 | $824.7K | +2.5% | 11 |
| North Garden, VA 22959 | $534.8K | +3.7% | 24 |
| Esmont, VA 22937 | $305.5K | +2.2% | 50 |
| Free Union, VA 22940 | $626.7K | +3.2% | 41 |
| Greenwood, VA 22943 | $591.7K | +4.1% | 0 |
| Keene, VA 22946 | – | – | 0 |
| Covesville, VA 22931 | $397K | +3.4% | 36 |