Free Union, VA 22940 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 41
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Home Value
$626,659
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
41
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
93 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-55%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$150
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 55% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 45% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+133% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (41/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.4% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $149k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $150 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.3%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Albemarle County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlottesville, VA 22903 | $534.6K | +0.8% | 29 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22901 | $528.8K | +1.7% | 40 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22902 | $480.2K | +0.5% | 57 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22911 | $514.7K | +1.4% | 37 |
| Crozet, VA 22932 | $600.6K | +2.6% | 17 |
| Earlysville, VA 22936 | $650.1K | +3.1% | 21 |
| Barboursville, VA 22923 | $435.5K | +2.3% | 35 |
| Charlottesville, VA 22904 | – | – | 71 |
| Keswick, VA 22947 | $824.7K | +2.5% | 11 |
| North Garden, VA 22959 | $534.8K | +3.7% | 24 |
| Esmont, VA 22937 | $305.5K | +2.2% | 50 |
| Greenwood, VA 22943 | $591.7K | +4.1% | 0 |
| Keene, VA 22946 | – | – | 0 |
| Covesville, VA 22931 | $397K | +3.4% | 36 |