Lovingston, VA 22971 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 41
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Home Value
$252,917
+3.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
41
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
53 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
8.2%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$151
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+8% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 4% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (41/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.1% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $151 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.9% to +11.4% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Nelson County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afton, VA 22920 | $457.6K | +4.8% | 38 |
| Roseland, VA 22967 | $415.6K | +2.5% | 37 |
| Wintergreen, VA 22958 | $575.1K | +2.9% | 30 |
| Arrington, VA 22922 | $243.9K | +3.9% | 2 |
| Schuyler, VA 22969 | $273.9K | +2.2% | 55 |
| Lovingston, VA 22949 | $317.8K | +5.1% | 35 |
| Faber, VA 22938 | $370.6K | +4.2% | 15 |
| Tyro, VA 24464 | $359.2K | +2.0% | 6 |
| Tyro, VA 22976 | $284.4K | +4.7% | 3 |
| Piney River, VA 22964 | $206.5K | 0.0% | 22 |
| Norwood, VA 24581 | – | – | 13 |