Tyro, VA 22976 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 3
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Home Value
$284,438
+4.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
3
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Nov 2024
Days on Market
25 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
47%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
89%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$182
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 89% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 40% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (3/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Jul 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 47% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $67k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $182 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.9% to +12.4% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Nelson County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afton, VA 22920 | $457.6K | +4.8% | 38 |
| Roseland, VA 22967 | $415.6K | +2.5% | 37 |
| Lovingston, VA 22971 | $252.9K | +3.9% | 41 |
| Wintergreen, VA 22958 | $575.1K | +2.9% | 30 |
| Arrington, VA 22922 | $243.9K | +3.9% | 2 |
| Schuyler, VA 22969 | $273.9K | +2.2% | 55 |
| Lovingston, VA 22949 | $317.8K | +5.1% | 35 |
| Faber, VA 22938 | $370.6K | +4.2% | 15 |
| Tyro, VA 24464 | $359.2K | +2.0% | 6 |
| Piney River, VA 22964 | $206.5K | 0.0% | 22 |
| Norwood, VA 24581 | – | – | 13 |