Jamaica, VA 23079 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 3
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Home Value
$406,460
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
3
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.0 months
Feb 2026
Days on Market
35 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Jun 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
46%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
57%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$149
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 57% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 50% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (3/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Jun 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 46% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $97k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $149 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.3% to +12.0% (80% range; middle estimate +5.0%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Middlesex County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saluda, VA 23149 | $326.1K | +2.6% | 41 |
| Urbanna, VA 23175 | $379.6K | +0.6% | 18 |
| Hartfield, VA 23071 | $387.9K | +2.4% | 50 |
| Deltaville, VA 23043 | $445.7K | +2.7% | 42 |
| Topping, VA 23169 | $340.4K | +1.0% | 51 |
| Locust Hill, VA 23092 | $387.2K | +1.6% | 44 |
| Wake, VA 23176 | $355.4K | +2.6% | 8 |
| Hardyville, VA 23070 | $425.7K | +2.2% | 21 |
| Water View, VA 23180 | $312.8K | −0.3% | 18 |
| Church View, VA 23032 | $274.1K | +6.8% | 77 |