Covington, VA 24426 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$168,857
+5.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
73 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$204
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 8% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+42% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.1% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $44k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $204 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.8% to +11.6% (80% range; middle estimate +4.5%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Alleghany County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clifton Forge, VA 24422 | $145.4K | −1.3% | 91 |
| Covington, VA 24457 | $131.9K | +11.7% | 23 |
| Iron Gate, VA 24448 | $88.7K | −2.0% | 83 |
| Covington, VA 24474 | $120.7K | −1.9% | 22 |